Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.840153 1.034304 1.242328 1.479747 1.741271 2.018799 2.333856
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.622810 0.892584 1.204446 1.582826 2.021578 2.507419 3.079518
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.483612 0.782948 1.149516 1.613591 2.169918 2.802218 3.562873
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.369320 0.681346 1.086566 1.620647 2.280289 3.047014 3.985961
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.263116 0.566818 0.988081 1.567032 2.303456 3.177849 4.266391
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.183031 0.471236 0.900382 1.515197 2.319252 3.292614 4.522130
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.128458 0.401078 0.837034 1.486152 2.356145 3.426911 4.796015
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.098653 0.365869 0.819273 1.514794 2.464096 3.646539 5.171542
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.071643 0.327216 0.790719 1.524334 2.544263 3.829830 5.501860
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.045433 0.278679 0.739420 1.496248 2.570798 3.943215 5.744759
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039993 0.280142 0.771590 1.590608 2.762731 4.267126 6.248624
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.034074 0.277922 0.796430 1.673694 2.939469 4.572195 6.730113
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028627 0.277254 0.827797 1.773700 3.149719 4.933458 7.298951
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023643 0.276012 0.858267 1.873761 3.362632 5.301751 7.881516
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015473 0.256025 0.850608 1.912693 3.489034 5.557013 8.321686
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007963 0.228028 0.823481 1.918677 3.567944 5.750019 8.683780
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001837 0.185381 0.759196 1.860195 3.552079 5.816588 8.884496
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000022 0.148464 0.698811 1.802744 3.533903 5.877398 9.075809
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.122210 0.656168 1.770719 3.549211 5.979815 9.317452
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.111853 0.650819 1.802349 3.658063 6.207715 9.720685
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.098387 0.634376 1.812898 3.734727 6.391905 10.067632
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.079154 0.596429 1.781859 3.747076 6.487807 10.299673
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.083853 0.631413 1.886036 3.965820 6.866230 10.900092